Report for Model 5

— for both jointly and separately

2024-10-23

1. Joint Modeling

1.1 Trace plots for convergence check

The current MCMC setting is:

  • 4000000 iteration;
  • 3000000 burn-in;
  • 1000 thinning.

1.2 Gelman and Rubin’s convergence check

## Potential scale reduction factors:
## 
##         Point est. Upper C.I.
## HDevsum       1.00       1.00
## LDevsum       1.00       1.00
## dh0           1.02       1.10
## dh1           1.02       1.10
## dh2           1.00       1.01
## dl0           1.00       1.01
## dl1           1.00       1.01
## dl2           1.00       1.00
## 
## Multivariate psrf
## 
## 1.02

1.3 ACF Plots

Here we plotted ACF plots for the following variables:

  • Total deviance;
  • Variables that didn’t pass the convergence check.

1.4 WAIC results

LevelH LevelL
DIC 1214.89274 22464.2353
DIC3 1153.87206 22549.4321
PWAIC 42.65392 255.6775
WAIC 1180.95189 22572.4635

2. Separate Modeling of High-Level

2.1 Trace plots for convergence check

The current MCMC setting is:

  • 4000000 iteration;
  • 3000000 burn-in;
  • 1000 thinning.

2.2 Gelman and Rubin’s convergence check

## Potential scale reduction factors:
## 
##         Point est. Upper C.I.
## HDevsum       1.00       1.00
## dh0           1.10       1.37
## dh1           1.08       1.31
## dh2           1.00       1.00
## 
## Multivariate psrf
## 
## 1.07

2.3 ACF Plots

Here we plotted ACF plots for the following variables:

  • Total deviance;
  • Variables that didn’t pass the convergence check.

2.4 WAIC results

H2
DIC 1351.42375
DIC3 1239.00179
PWAIC 87.49656
WAIC 1305.84653

3. Separate Modeling for Low-level

3.1 Trace plots for convergence check

The current MCMC setting is:

  • 4000000 iteration;
  • 3000000 burn-in;
  • 1000 thinning.

3.2 Gelman and Rubin’s convergence check

## Potential scale reduction factors:
## 
##         Point est. Upper C.I.
## LDevsum      1.000      1.000
## dl0          0.999      0.999
## dl1          1.003      1.011
## dl2          1.001      1.003
## 
## Multivariate psrf
## 
## 1

3.3 ACF Plots

Here we plotted ACF plots for the following variables:

  • Total deviance;
  • Variables that didn’t pass the convergence check.

3.4 WAIC results

L2
DIC 22586.0287
DIC3 22660.2572
PWAIC 322.2886
WAIC 22696.0729